TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NRL: Canberra Raiders vs Brisbane Broncos
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Canberra Raiders vs Brisbane Broncos?

Volume:
$4,896

Brisbane Broncos

 - Kalshi

Brisbane Broncos - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 6:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Brisbane Broncos

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,439
N/A
N/A
$1,896
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Canberra Raiders

0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,691
N/A
N/A
$1,451
Settled
No
polymarket

Canberra Raiders vs. Brisbane Broncos

0%
75%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$354
N/A
N/A
$354
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group covers the National Rugby League (NRL) match between Canberra Raiders and Brisbane Broncos scheduled for August 21, 2026. The outcome of the market depends on which team wins the match, with specific rules for draws and cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market structure mismatch between binary outcome (Polymarket) and positive resolution for all outcomes (Kalshi)Hero tip: Traders should exercise caution due to the fundamental structural difference; Kalshi's market resolves to Yes for any completed match regardless of winner, while Polymarket distinguishes between winners and provides a 50-50 split for draws/cancellations

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Canberra Raiders if they win, Brisbane Broncos if they win, and 50-50 for draws or cancellations
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if Canberra Raiders win, Yes if Brisbane Broncos win, and Yes if the match ends in a tie
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NRL match between Canberra Raiders and Brisbane Broncos, scheduled for August 21 2026.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the professional National Rugby League match between Canberra Raiders and Brisbane Broncos, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026, at 4:00 AM EDT. If either team wins the match—whether on the original date or following a postponement within two weeks—the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie under the same conditions, the tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond the two-week window, all markets resolve to a fair price based on the circumstances. The event explicitly states that the platform is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the NRL Raiders vs Broncos market aggregates real-time data from multiple prediction platforms, showing how traders price the chances of each team winning. It displays current probabilities, volume of $4,896, and 24-hour volume of $2,640, letting you see consensus views across venues. This centralized view helps you monitor shifts in sentiment as the match approaches, with all data updated live to reflect trading activity on each book.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect crowd-sourced forecasts rather than set operator margins. In this market, the decentralized nature of trading lets prices adjust quickly to new information, such as team injuries or weather updates. Sportsbook odds may include a built-in house edge, while prediction markets let participants bet directly on their own assessments, sometimes producing sharper or more volatile lines.

Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions that affect gameplay can all shift this market. News about team performance in preceding matches, disciplinary actions, or even broader league trends may cause traders to re-evaluate probabilities. As the match date approaches, any update that influences the perceived likelihood of a win for either side can lead to noticeable price movements on prediction platforms.