TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 10:44 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional Valorant teams, NRG and Leviatán Esports, compete in a best-of-three series on August 1, 2026. The outcome hinges on which team secures victory on the second map of their match, determining the winner of this specific market.
If NRG wins map 2 in the VCT Americas Stage 2 2026: NRG vs. Leviatán Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Leviatán Esports wins map 2 in the VCT Americas Stage 2 2026: NRG vs. Leviatán Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity, often showing sharper shifts than sportsbooks as new information emerges. While sportsbooks incorporate broader public betting patterns and adjusted margins, this market provides a more direct view of informed trader expectations. The resulting probabilities can diverge significantly from sportsbook lines, especially in fast-moving esports events like the NRG vs. Leviatán Map 2 market.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the majority view. The market uses a logarithmic market scoring rule to incentivize accurate forecasting, balancing risk and reward for participants. As trading volume grows to $190,852, the odds converge toward what traders believe is the most likely result. This mechanism allows rapid price adjustments based on new data or shifts in trader confidence.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match outcome, and the market settles based on which team secures the win on Map 2. No further analysis or interpretation is needed beyond the public record of the game’s result.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include player injuries, strategic changes by coaches, team performance in prior maps, and pre-match analysts’ insights. Any surprising roster updates or tactical adjustments could also impact trader sentiment. As the match approaches, real-time news, practice sessions, and social media reactions may cause rapid fluctuations in the market’s pricing, reflecting evolving expectations about which team will control Map 2.