TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 4:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Novara and Livorno, specifically determining the winner after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. It excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty kicks, and addresses scenarios where the match might be canceled or significantly rescheduled.
The markets collectively determine the result of the Novara vs Livorno professional Coppa Italia Lega Pro soccer match scheduled for September 2, 2026, based solely on the outcome after 90 minutes of regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Novara, a win for Livorno, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Additionally, if the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the defined rules. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique participant dynamics and betting constraints. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors or adjust for different risk profiles, prediction markets let traders bet directly on their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regulation time, without accounting for extra time or penalties. Once official match reports are published, the market will close and settle according to the declared winner or draw.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or shifting weather conditions could all impact this market as the match nears. Additionally, early betting trends on Kalshi may create momentum swings, while last-minute news from team announcements or referee assignments can cause rapid price adjustments. All these factors help traders assess potential shifts in implied probabilities before the final whistle.