TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 9:37 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the margin of victory in a soccer match between Notts and Leicester. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specific goal differential threshold, reflecting the competitive balance and potential outcome ranges for the match.
The event determines whether either team wins the designated soccer match by a margin exceeding specified goal differentials. If Notts wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, the market resolves positively for those conditions. Similarly, if Leicester wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, the market also resolves positively. The resolution is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The outcome depends on the extent of the winning margin rather than just the fact of a win, with different thresholds defining separate conditions for resolution.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent possible spread outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders for each outcome, allowing participants to express their views on the likely margin of victory or defeat through market activity.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is determined by the official match result and goal totals, which are then compared against the defined spread thresholds to settle all positions.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, recent form or performance metrics, and even weather conditions could shift expectations for the match margin and move this market. Any news that alters the perceived likelihood of a narrow or wide victory for either side will be reflected in real-time price adjustments as traders react.