TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 7:40 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional cricket match between two county teams. The result depends solely on which team officially wins the match according to the governing body's rules. Any scenario where no winner is declared results in a shared resolution.
The event resolves based on the official winner of the Nottinghamshire vs Hampshire men’s professional County Championship cricket match scheduled for September 8, 2026. If either team is declared the winner by the governing body, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. In cases of forfeit, disqualification, or concession, markets resolve to $0.50 if the issue occurs before play begins; if it occurs after play starts and the governing body declares a winner, the market resolves based on that declared result.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of professionals, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Nottinghamshire vs Hampshire match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The platform uses a margin system to ensure fair trading and prevent manipulation.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Nottinghamshire vs Hampshire match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress and any official announcements that may impact the outcome and the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before Sep 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions affecting the match could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or performance could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analyses, might lead to adjustments in the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.