TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 5:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Nottingham and Leeds United in the Round 2 of the EFL Cup. It focuses on which team progresses to the next stage following the match. The result reflects the competitive performance of both clubs in this specific fixture.
The event determines which team advances from the Round 2 EFL Cup tie between Nottingham and Leeds United. If Nottingham progresses, the 'Nottingham advances' outcome resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Leeds United progresses, the 'Leeds United advances' outcome resolves to Yes. References to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are strictly descriptive and do not imply any endorsement or affiliation with FIFA. The resolution hinges solely on the official match result declaring the advancing team.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks incorporate expert analysis and adjusted margins, prediction markets rely purely on trader sentiment and betting activity. This can lead to tighter spreads or larger divergences, depending on how participant sentiment aligns with or challenges conventional wisdom. Monitoring both can provide a broader perspective on expected outcomes and potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through their buying and selling activity. The current implied probability reflects the aggregate expectations of all participants about which team will prevail. As new information emerges — such as player injuries or recent performance — the market adjusts dynamically, with prices shifting to balance supply and demand. This decentralized pricing mechanism captures a broad range of opinions in real time.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will finalize the market based on publicly available records. Traders can track confirmed results through news outlets and official league announcements to anticipate when the market will close and payouts will be processed.
Injuries to key players, tactical changes by coaches, or shifting team form in the days leading up to the match could all influence this market. Additionally, weather conditions, disciplinary actions, or even early match events like red cards can cause rapid shifts in trader sentiment. Media coverage and expert commentary may also shape perceptions, driving volume and price changes as the event draws closer. Keeping an eye on pre-match analysis and real-time updates is essential for spotting movement.