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Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC - First Team to Score

Volume:
$554,726

Over 0.5 goals scored

 - Kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 12:37 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$177,246
N/A
N/A
$113,987
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Leeds United FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
0%
75%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$110,438
N/A
N/A
$53,106
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$99,118
N/A
N/A
$56,320
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$87,643
N/A
N/A
$53,993
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72,246
N/A
N/A
$48,224
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,904
N/A
N/A
$5,340
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,126
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nottingham Forest FC

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks which team will score the first goal in the Nottingham Forest FC versus Leeds United FC match scheduled for August 25, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability shows Leeds United FC to score first with 99.6%. Data comes from Polymarket and Kalshi, resolving via official match statistics. Watch the match on August 25, 2026, to see which team opens the scoring within regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets resolve based on the first goal scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with neither team scoring resolving to Neither. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting as a fallback

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the team that scores the first goal within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
  • If neither team scores within this timeframe, the market resolves to Neither
  • Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded from consideration

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: The market remains open until the game is completed
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to Neither
  • Delayed Statistics: If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes, based on official statistics or credible reporting if necessaryOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Nottingham Forest FC and Leeds United FC, scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nottingham Forest FC" if Nottingham Forest FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Leeds United FC" if Leeds United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Nottingham and Leeds United in their professional EPL soccer match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded from the count. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, resolving to 'Yes' if the total goals surpass that threshold and 'No' otherwise. The governing body’s official result determines the outcome, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the first goal scorer market aggregates predictions from multiple venues, showing how traders price the chances of each team scoring first. It displays total volume of $554,726 and 24-hour volume of $545,474, letting you see where consensus lies across platforms. This real-time view captures shifting expectations as the match approaches, reflecting betting action and public sentiment on who might find the net first.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, pricing mechanisms and user bases create natural variation. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, differing liquidity pools mean price impact from large trades can be stronger on lower-volume platforms. Additionally, each venue attracts distinct participant demographics, which can skew sentiment temporarily. Right now, Polymarket sets its odds based on the flow of bets from its community, while Kalshi may weight statistical models or broader market trends differently, producing unique price signals for this market.