TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK
polymarket
kalshi

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK

Volume:
$5,678,763

Fenerbahçe SK

 - Polymarket

Fenerbahçe SK - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 27, 2026

Closed: Feb 26, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Fenerbahçe SK

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$368,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nottingham Forest FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,140,585
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Fenerbahce wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,928
N/A
N/A
$28,533
Settled
No
kalshi

Nottingham wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,040
N/A
N/A
$24,260
Settled
No
kalshi

Fenerbahce wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,301
N/A
N/A
$10,292
Settled
No
kalshi

Nottingham wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,994
N/A
N/A
$2,505
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a Europa League match between Nottingham Forest FC (home) and Fenerbahçe SK scheduled for February 26, 2026. Polymarket offers three binary markets (Nottingham win, draw, Fenerbahçe win), while Kalshi offers four goal-differential markets (win margins >1.5 and >2.5 goals for each team). All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers binary outcome markets (win/draw/loss), while Kalshi offers goal-differential threshold markets. These are different market types with no direct logical equivalence, creating scope divergence rather than a contradiction.Hero tip: Polymarket and Kalshi are measuring different things. Polymarket resolves on any Nottingham win (1-0, 2-0, 5-0); Kalshi requires specific margins. A close Nottingham victory (1-0) pays on Polymarket but not on any Kalshi market. Conversely, a 3-0 Nottingham win pays on all Polymarket and Kalshi Nottingham markets. Treat these as separate trading opportunities, not hedges.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three binary markets covering all possible match outcomes: Nottingham win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No), Fenerbahçe win (Yes/No). Cancellation without makeup resolves draw to Yes, win markets to No. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Four independent goal-differential markets: Nottingham >2.5 margin win, Nottingham >1.5 margin win, Fenerbahçe >1.5 margin win, Fenerbahçe >2.5 margin win. Each resolves Yes only if the specified condition is met. No explicit cancellation clause. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.