TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 9:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Marcondes/Slavic and Hands/Summers in the Nottingham 3, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marcondes/Slavic' if the team of Marcondes/Slavic advances against Hands/Summers. This market will resolve to 'Hands/Summers' if the team of Hands/Summers advances against Marcondes/Slavic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Marcondes/Slavic and Hands/Summers in the Nottingham 3, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marcondes/Slavic' if the team of Marcondes/Slavic advances against Hands/Summers. This market will resolve to 'Hands/Summers' if the team of Hands/Summers advances against Marcondes/Slavic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets allow traders to freely set prices based on their beliefs about outcomes. This market aggregates the collective judgment of many independent traders with real money at stake, which can sometimes surface insights that traditional sportsbooks have not yet fully priced in. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism where buying and selling shares directly moves the odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome is represented as a separate contract, and the price you see reflects the cumulative trades of all participants. As more traders buy shares predicting a Marcondes and Slavic victory, that outcome's price rises and its implied probability increases. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This continuous price discovery process ensures the market remains responsive to new information and trader conviction throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the doubles match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins the match—either Marcondes and Slavic or Hands and Summers. Resolution occurs after the event is officially confirmed, ensuring accuracy and preventing premature settlement. Traders should monitor the match schedule and official tournament updates to anticipate the resolution window and plan their positions accordingly.
Several factors could shift odds before resolution. Player injuries, withdrawals, or late-breaking fitness updates about any of the four competitors would likely trigger sharp price moves. Recent form and head-to-head records between the pairs may influence trader positioning as the match approaches. Court conditions, weather, and draw announcements can also sway sentiment. Media coverage, expert commentary, and betting action from professional syndicates often precede significant repricing. Finally, any official tournament announcements or scheduling changes could create volatility as traders reassess their conviction and adjust positions accordingly.