TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 23.5
- Polymarket
Nottingham 2: Mackenzie McDonald vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 23.5 - Polymarket
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·
Resolved Jun 16, 2026
Closed: Jun 24, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mackenzie McDonald and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Nottingham 2, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mackenzie McDonald' if Mackenzie McDonald advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Mackenzie McDonald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mackenzie McDonald and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Nottingham 2, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mackenzie McDonald' if Mackenzie McDonald advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Mackenzie McDonald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether one venue perceives McDonald or Mochizuki as undervalued. Sharp bettors monitor both to identify mispricings and arbitrage opportunities.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome, with the combined probability of all outcomes equaling 100 percent. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, causing prices to move in real time. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and increases price accuracy.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the McDonald vs Mochizuki match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match result—whether McDonald or Mochizuki wins the contest. Resolution occurs after the event is complete and confirmed through established sports reporting channels, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders.
Several factors may shift odds before the match takes place. Recent player form, head-to-head records, court surface preference, and injury reports can all influence trader positioning. Tournament momentum, public betting patterns, and expert commentary may also drive repricing. Closer to the event date, weather conditions, last-minute lineup changes, or shifts in player confidence could trigger sharp moves. Monitoring sports news and player statements helps anticipate how this market might evolve.