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Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston
polymarket
kalshi

Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston

Volume:
$2,400,636

Felix Gill

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 9:41 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Felix Gill

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$809,273
N/A
N/A
$373,489
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$250,194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 22.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 23.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hugo Gaston

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,339,461
N/A
N/A
$534,801
Settled
No
polymarket

Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 18

Intro

This market tracks the total number of games played in the second set of the Felix Gill versus Hugo Gaston match at the 2026 ATP Challenger Nottingham 2 tournament. Across Polymarket and Kalshi, the consensus probability for the over 8.5 games outcome stands at 100.0%, indicating near-certain expectation that the set will extend beyond nine games. Resolution will be determined by official ATP Tour statistics from atptour.com and official Challenger match results, with credible reporting consensus applied if official data is unavailable within two hours of match conclusion. Watch for the match scheduled on June 15, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET to see how the set unfolds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across both platforms use identical core logic: official ATP Challenger results as primary source, 7-day delay threshold, 50-50 resolution for walkovers and incomplete play, and consistent game/set counting rules.Primary resolution logic: Official ATP Tour statistics (atptour.com) and official Challenger match results; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner resolves to the player who advances after any ball is played, including by opponent retirement, default, or disqualification
  • Walkover (pre-match withdrawal) resolves 50-50
  • Match cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days from scheduled date without completion resolves 50-50
  • Set winner markets resolve 50-50 if that set is not completed with a winner determined
  • Game total markets (O/U) resolve 50-50 if the relevant set(s) are not completed
  • All tiebreaks, including Champions/Super tiebreaks, count as one game toward totals
  • Set handicap markets resolve based on final completed score; 50-50 if match incomplete
  • Match completion market (Yes/No) resolves Yes only if all games and sets required under governing rules are played to completion through normal play; No for any forfeit, retirement, walkover, cancellation, or delay beyond 7 days

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Retirement or Default Mid-Match: If match begins and one player retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the advancing player wins the match. Set/game markets resolve based on completed sets/games only; incomplete sets resolve 50-50.
  • Match Begins but Incomplete: If match starts but does not finish (other than by retirement/default), all incomplete set and game markets resolve 50-50. Match completion market resolves No.
  • Delay Beyond 7 Days: If match is delayed more than 7 days from June 15, 2026 scheduled date without a result, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • Tiebreak Counting: Any tiebreak (including first-set, second-set, or super/champions tiebreak) counts as exactly one game for all O/U game total markets.
  • Set Handicap Logic: Gill (-1.5) wins if Gill wins 2+ more sets than Gaston; Gaston (-1.5) wins if Gaston wins 2+ more sets than Gill. If margin is less than 2 sets, the other player wins the market.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match result by ATP Tour or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Markets with 7-day threshold begin countdown from scheduled date of June 15, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Gill and Hugo Gaston in the Nottingham 2, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Gill' if Felix Gill advances against Hugo Gaston. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Felix Gill. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Felix Gill wins the Gill vs Gaston professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Nottingham 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hugo Gaston wins the Gill vs Gaston professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Nottingham 2 Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like these operate on real-money trading, where prices emerge from supply and demand rather than bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically embed a built-in edge and adjust lines to balance liability; prediction markets instead reflect what traders collectively believe will happen. Over time, prediction markets have proven competitive with or more accurate than traditional sportsbooks for sports outcomes, since traders profit by pricing events correctly. For this match, comparing the implied probabilities here to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities or consensus shifts.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under distinct rule sets, fee structures, and user bases, which can create temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi may also attract different trader demographics and liquidity profiles, leading one to price the outcome more bullishly or bearishly than the other. Additionally, the timing of large trades, withdrawal policies, and platform-specific incentives can shift odds independently. Savvy traders monitor both venues to identify mispricings and arbitrage opportunities before the match concludes.