TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 2:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Notre Dame and Purdue. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods.
The market resolves based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Notre Dame vs Purdue college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Purdue scores first, Notre Dame scores first, or no team scores a touchdown. All types of touchdowns—offensive, defensive, and special teams—are counted, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a large number of traders believe one team is more likely to score first, the price will move in their favor, potentially creating a discrepancy with sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially as more information becomes available leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team being the first to score a touchdown. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price of that outcome increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective belief of all traders participating in the market. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team scoring first.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Notre Dame vs Purdue game. The result will be determined by official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to collect on winning contracts based on the final outcome of the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Notre Dame or Purdue would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s offensive style, could also influence trading activity. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated betting lines from sportsbooks can also shift market sentiment. Finally, any significant news related to team morale or coaching decisions could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Sep 26, 2026.