TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 3:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score more points in a specific quarter of an upcoming college football game between Notre Dame and Purdue. It reflects the competitive dynamics and scoring trends that can shift the momentum of the game in any given segment.
If Purdue wins the 2nd quarter of the Notre Dame vs Purdue college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Notre Dame wins the 2nd quarter of the Notre Dame vs Purdue college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Notre Dame vs Purdue college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team performance and other factors, this market allows traders to adjust those expectations based on new information, injuries, or even subtle shifts in public sentiment. Sometimes, you’ll see alignment between prediction markets and sportsbooks, but often there are discrepancies, especially as the event approaches and more data becomes available. It’s a different way to gauge the probability of an outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either Notre Dame or Purdue winning the second quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, signaling growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, giving traders insight into the potential cost of entering or exiting a position. The goal is to profit by accurately predicting the eventual winner.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the second quarter of the Notre Dame vs Purdue game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game results will be used to determine which contract pays out. Traders who hold a contract for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not. The platform will automatically handle the payout process based on the verified results. It is important to monitor the event time as it approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries on either Notre Dame or Purdue would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they impact playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, even public perception and betting trends – as reflected in the volume traded on Kalshi – can influence the price of contracts and the implied probabilities. Monitoring these signals can help inform trading decisions.