TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 3:37 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential between Notre Dame and Purdue specifically during the second quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to settle the bet.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Notre Dame vs Purdue college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For any market where the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin, that market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result of that quarter. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty introduced by the delay. The markets cover a range of point differentials for both teams, allowing participants to bet on varying levels of dominance in the second quarter.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market reflects the aggregated predictions of individuals trading on Kalshi. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Sportsbooks may be influenced by promotional offers or biases, whereas this market attempts to represent a more unbiased forecast based on informed traders. It's common to see the two diverge, particularly in situations where there's significant public interest or uncertainty surrounding the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Notre Dame-Purdue 2nd quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. Buyers are essentially betting that the spread will be as stated by the contract, while sellers are betting against it. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, leading to dynamic price movements based on supply and demand.
Several factors could significantly influence the Notre Dame-Purdue 2nd quarter spread market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause a shift in the price. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and drive price movements, especially as the game draws closer and more information becomes available to traders.