TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 5:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Notre Dame or Purdue will win their college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Notre Dame a 99.0% probability of winning, while Purdue is at 2.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Notre Dame vs Purdue college football game, as determined by the official result. Keep an eye on the game itself on September 26, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves based on the official winner of the Notre Dame vs. Purdue college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. These rules ensure clarity and fairness regardless of scheduling changes, while emphasizing that Kalshi is not connected to the NCAA, and all related trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public bias or sharp money. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more accurate as more information becomes available and more traders participate. It’s common to see this market converge towards the true probability of an event, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Notre Dame vs Purdue game as officially recorded. The market will determine which outcome—a Notre Dame win or a Purdue win—is the correct one based on the official game results. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to this date to stay informed.
Several signals could impact this market before Sep 26, 2026. Key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant price movement, as would any major coaching changes or unexpected team news. Shifts in public perception, driven by media coverage or analyst predictions, could also influence trading activity. Game-day weather forecasts and any late-breaking news regarding team strategies or player availability are also potential catalysts. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into how the market might evolve as the game approaches. Any significant development could lead to changes in the implied probabilities reflected in the contract prices.