TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 10:06 AM EST
Kalshi
Norwich and Bolton will compete in an EFL Championship match where the total goals scored will settle multiple over/under markets. The combined scoring output will test several incremental benchmarks.
Each market resolves depending on whether the total goals scored in the Norwich vs Bolton EFL Championship game on Sep 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, exceeds one of six thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). Extra time and penalty goals are excluded. All markets contain identical secondary statements about affiliations and intellectual property.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analyses and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within each venue. It’s common to see this market diverge from sportsbook lines as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Norwich vs Bolton match will be the determining factor. This includes any goals scored during regular play and any added time, but does not include penalty shootouts. The final result will be sourced from official match data and confirmed by Kalshi to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Norwich or Bolton would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also cause fluctuations. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in expectations and move the market accordingly.