TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 8:50 PM EST
Kalshi
A FIFA World Cup soccer match featuring Norway and Senegal on June 22, 2026, tracking total goals scored by both teams combined during the first half.
The market offers multiple thresholds for total goals scored by both teams combined during the first half only. Each threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, and 3.5 goals) represents a separate outcome that resolves to Yes if the first-half combined goal total exceeds that threshold. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money bets from traders and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts and sportsbook lines. While analysts may rely on historical team statistics, recent form, and tactical analysis, prediction markets incorporate those factors plus live trader sentiment and breaking news. For the Norway vs Senegal first half total, comparing Kalshi odds to independent analyst predictions can reveal whether the market is pricing in factors analysts have overlooked or underweighted.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Norway vs Senegal first half total is priced as a binary contract reflecting trader expectations about total goals scored in the opening 45 minutes. Prices move based on order flow and new information; as match kickoff approaches, volatility may increase if team news, weather, or injury updates emerge. Kalshi's continuous order book allows you to trade in and out at any time before resolution, making it possible to lock in gains or cut losses as conditions change.
The market resolves on Jun 23, 2026 following the conclusion of the first half. Resolution is determined by the official first-half goal count recorded by the match officials and confirmed by the relevant football governing body. Once the first half ends and the final tally is verified, the contract settles based on whether the actual total meets, exceeds, or falls short of the strike price specified in the market terms.
Several factors could shift odds before kickoff and during the first half. Pre-match team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments—often triggers sharp price moves. Weather conditions at the venue, referee assignments, and recent form updates can also influence trader positioning. During the match itself, early goals, red cards, or missed penalties will cause rapid repricing as the probability of reaching the total threshold changes. Live trader reaction to in-game momentum is a major driver of price volatility.