TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 8:50 PM EST
Kalshi
A FIFA World Cup soccer match featuring Norway and Senegal on June 22, 2026, tracking the margin of victory during the first half.
The market resolves based on the goal margin between the teams during the first half only. Separate outcomes track whether Norway wins the first half by more than 1.5 goals or whether Senegal wins the first half by more than 1.5 goals. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts may rely on team form, injury reports, and historical matchups, prediction markets incorporate all available information through continuous price discovery. For the Norway vs Senegal first-half spread, market odds tend to adjust faster than analyst consensus as new team news emerges. Comparing Kalshi pricing to published expert predictions can reveal where the crowd sees value or where analysts may have missed recent developments.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Norway vs Senegal first-half spread is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether the spread outcome will occur. The price moves between 0 and 100 cents based on trader demand, with higher prices indicating stronger market belief in the outcome. Kalshi's order book shows buy and sell interest at different price levels, allowing traders to execute at their preferred odds. Real-time price updates reflect breaking news, team lineups, and shifting trader sentiment throughout the pre-match period.
The Norway vs Senegal: First Half Spread market resolves on Jun 23, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official first-half result of the match and whether the spread outcome is confirmed. The market will settle once the first half concludes and the final score is verified. Traders should monitor official match data and any official announcements from the relevant sports authority to understand the exact resolution criteria for this specific spread contract.
Several catalysts could shift the Norway vs Senegal first-half spread market before kickoff. Team lineup announcements, injury confirmations, or surprise roster changes will likely trigger price moves. Weather conditions at the venue, recent form updates, or tactical adjustments announced by either coach can also influence trader positioning. Pre-match press conferences and official team news releases often spark volatility. Additionally, sharp money entering the market or large block trades can accelerate price movement as new information is priced in by Kalshi traders.