TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 8:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of goals scored by both teams in the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 26, 2026, 19:00 UTC is strictly greater than the total number of goals scored by both teams in the Uruguay vs Spain FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 27, 2026, 00:00 UTC, as recorded in the FIFA.com match reports for these specific games. All goals that count toward each match's official final score will be included (including own goals). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If either match is not played and completed with an official result by August 27, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after both matches are completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of goals scored by both teams in the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 26, 2026, 19:00 UTC is strictly greater than the total number of goals scored by both teams in the Uruguay vs Spain FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 27, 2026, 00:00 UTC, as recorded in the FIFA.com match reports for these specific games. All goals that count toward each match's official final score will be included (including own goals). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If either match is not played and completed with an official result by August 27, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after both matches are completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader belief and real-money commitment. This market aggregates the collective forecast of traders willing to stake capital on the outcome, which can sometimes offer sharper or earlier signals than conventional betting lines, especially as new team news or tactical adjustments emerge before kickoff.
On Limitless, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the marginal trade—the last transaction—and moves as new orders flow in. Traders can enter limit or market orders, and the spread between bid and ask prices tightens or widens based on liquidity and conviction. This mechanism ensures that pricing remains responsive to breaking news, team announcements, or shifts in public perception about either matchup.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once both matches have concluded and the final goal tallies are confirmed. The outcome is determined by comparing the total goals scored in Norway vs France against the total in Uruguay vs Spain. Verification occurs through credible public sports reporting and official match records. Traders should monitor both fixtures closely in the days leading up to resolution, as late team news or lineup changes can shift expectations right up to kickoff.
Key catalysts include official team lineups, injury announcements, and recent form updates for all four nations. Coaching decisions, tactical shifts, or player suspensions can significantly alter goal-scoring potential. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and head-to-head historical trends also influence trader positioning. Additionally, any surprise results in related international fixtures or changes to tournament stakes may shift market sentiment. Traders should track pre-match press conferences and official federation announcements to stay ahead of repricing.