TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether France will win by more than 1.5 goals against Norway in their FIFA World Cup match. On Kalshi, the probability that France wins by over 1.5 goals stands at 98.0%, according to resolution based on the final scoreline after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The specific catalyst for resolution is the completion of the Norway vs France match scheduled for June 26, 2026.
If Norway wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Norway wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If France wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If France wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-money positions from a different participant base. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders seeking profit on actual outcomes. For the Norway vs France: Spread event, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the two venues disagree on likelihood. These gaps may signal undervalued or overvalued positions worth investigating before the market closes.
On Kalshi, the Norway vs France: Spread market is priced as a binary contract reflecting the expected point margin between the two teams. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares based on their belief about whether the spread outcome will occur, with the contract settling to 100 cents if true or zero if false. The current price reflects the collective probability estimate of Kalshi traders. Volume and liquidity on the platform determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at competitive prices.
The Norway vs France: Spread market resolves on Jun 26, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official result of the match and how the actual point differential compares to the specified spread. The market will settle based on verified match data from authoritative sports sources. Until that date, the contract remains open for trading, and prices may shift as new information about team form, injuries, or other factors emerges.
Key catalysts for the Norway vs France: Spread market include team news such as player injuries, lineup announcements, and recent performance trends. International football fixtures, weather conditions at the venue, and head-to-head historical records can all influence trader positioning. Betting market movements on sportsbooks may also signal shifting sentiment. As Jun 26, 2026 approaches, confirmed team sheets and pre-match analysis typically drive final price adjustments. Monitor sports news and team social media for updates that could reshape market expectations.