TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market on Polymarket tracks whether both Norway and England will each score at least one goal during their FIFA World Cup match. The leading outcome currently stands at 100.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA records via FIFA.com. Bettors should monitor team lineups and injury reports leading up to the July 11, 2026 match kickoff at 5:00 PM ET, as roster availability and tactical adjustments in the final days before the fixture could significantly influence scoring patterns.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 11 at 5:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like Polymarket are driven purely by trader supply and demand. This market may show odds that differ meaningfully from major sportsbooks, especially if one venue attracts sharper or more specialized bettors. Comparing this market's prices to established sportsbook lines can reveal where the broader betting public and prediction market traders disagree, potentially signaling value or consensus shifts as the match approaches.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism where buying or selling contracts moves the odds in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the probability that traders collectively assign to each outcome. As new information surfaces—team lineups, weather conditions, or betting trends—participants adjust their positions, causing prices to shift. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to fresh developments and allows traders to enter or exit positions at any time before the match concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the final score and official match records. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell contracts as odds fluctuate. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing the prediction market to settle and payouts to be distributed to winning positions.
Key catalysts include team announcements regarding player availability, starting lineups, and tactical adjustments. Weather forecasts, venue conditions, and recent form updates can shift trader sentiment significantly. International match dynamics—such as qualification implications or rivalry intensity—often drive sharp price movements. Social media trends, expert commentary, and live pre-match analysis may also influence late trading activity. Any unexpected developments in the hours before kickoff, from injury news to managerial statements, typically trigger rapid repricing as traders reassess probabilities and adjust their positions accordingly.