TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 7:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks assist performance by selected Norwegian and English players during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup match on July 11, 2026. For certain players, multiple thresholds are offered (1+ or 2+ assists), allowing bettors to predict different levels of playmaking output.
Each market resolves Yes if the specified player records at least the stated number of assists during the entire Norway vs England professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for July 11, 2026, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Settlement is based solely on assists recorded, not goals. Players are tracked at various assist thresholds: Antonio Nusa, Erling Haaland, Fredrik Aursnes, Martin Odegaard, Sander Berge, Declan Rice, Elliot Anderson, Harry Kane, and Jude Bellingham. If a player is active but never enters the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined by their recorded assist total.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different market structures and trader bases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and generate profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money incentives. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper pricing on niche outcomes like total assists, since specialized traders compete directly on accuracy rather than against a fixed house margin. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from professional betting markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different assist outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of all active traders about the probability of that outcome occurring. As new information emerges or trading interest shifts, prices adjust in real time. Traders profit by accurately predicting the final assist count, creating strong incentives for informed pricing.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the Norway vs England match concludes and the final assist count is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official assist statistics recorded for the match. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on team news, injury reports, lineup announcements, and live match developments. Traders can adjust positions right up until the market locks at the start of the event.
Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups, injury announcements affecting playmakers or forwards, and pre-match analysis from credible sports analysts. Live match events—such as early goals, red cards, or substitutions—can significantly shift expectations around assist volume. Weather conditions and tactical adjustments announced before kickoff may also influence trading. Social media sentiment and betting syndicate activity on other platforms can create momentum, though the core driver remains real-time match dynamics and official team news.