TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 8:00 PM EST
Predict
This market tracks whether the Norway versus England FIFA World Cup match will end in a draw during the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. On Predict, a draw is priced at 99.0%, while a Norway victory is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting used as a secondary source if official results are not published within 2 hours of the match conclusion. Watch for the final whistle on July 11, 2026, when the match concludes and official results are declared.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, July 11, 2026 between Norway and England.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by traders risking real capital on outcomes they believe are mispriced. This market aggregates the views of thousands of independent forecasters, which can reveal consensus that differs from bookmaker pricing. Comparing the two can highlight where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree most sharply.
Key catalysts include team announcements regarding injuries, suspensions, or tactical changes that affect perceived strength. International fixture congestion, player fatigue, and recent form in qualifying matches will influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions at the venue and any late-breaking news about squad availability can trigger sharp repricing. Betting syndicates and sharp money entering the market may also signal information asymmetry, prompting broader price adjustments as other traders react to unusual activity.