TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
This market refers to the FIFA World Cup match between Norway (NOR) and England (ENG), scheduled for 2026-07-11 21:00 UTC. - NOR: If Norway wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - ENG: If England wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both NOR and ENG options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by FIFA World Cup. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026
This market refers to the FIFA World Cup match between Norway (NOR) and England (ENG), scheduled for 2026-07-11 21:00 UTC. - NOR: If Norway wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - ENG: If England wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both NOR and ENG options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by FIFA World Cup. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on decentralized trader consensus. This market may show England favored by traders, yet traditional sportsbooks could price the matchup differently based on their own models and risk management. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money disagrees with conventional betting markets, though both incorporate team form, injuries, and historical head-to-head records into their pricing.
On Opinion, traders directly set prices by buying and selling outcome shares, with the market price reflecting the collective probability estimate at any moment. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders back one outcome—say, an England victory—the price of that share rises, and the implied probability adjusts upward. Conversely, if conviction weakens, prices fall. This continuous auction mechanism ensures prices stay responsive to new information and trader sentiment, creating a dynamic real-time gauge of expected match results.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the Norway vs England match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score: a win for England, a win for Norway, or a draw, depending on which team scores more goals or if the match ends level. Resolution happens automatically once the result is confirmed, and all winning shares are paid out according to the market's rules.
Key injury announcements, lineup confirmations, and recent team form will likely shift trader sentiment and prices leading up to kickoff. International friendlies or qualifying matches involving either squad can signal momentum or tactical changes. Weather conditions at the venue, referee assignments, and head-to-head history may also influence positioning. Late-breaking news—such as a star player's suspension or a coaching change—can trigger sharp price moves. Traders monitor all these factors to adjust their positions, so this market remains sensitive to any credible development affecting match dynamics or team readiness.