TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 9:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Norway advances to the Round of 16 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If at any point it becomes impossible for Norway to advance to the Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), this market will resolve to "NO." If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 23:59 UTC, or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "NO." The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Norway advances to the Round of 16 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If at any point it becomes impossible for Norway to advance to the Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), this market will resolve to "NO." If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 23:59 UTC, or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "NO." The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, Norway's chances of reaching the Round of 16 are priced through continuous order-book trading, where participants buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. The current price reflects the marginal trader's belief about Norway's probability of advancing past the group stage. As new information emerges—such as squad injuries, qualifying-round results, or draw announcements—the price adjusts dynamically. Limitless pricing is transparent and driven entirely by supply and demand among traders.
The market resolves on Jul 4, 2026, after the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage concludes. The outcome is determined by whether Norway finishes in the top two of its group, which would qualify them for the Round of 16 knockout stage. Resolution is binary: if Norway advances, yes-share holders are paid out; if Norway is eliminated in the group stage, no-share holders receive the payout. The official FIFA tournament results serve as the authoritative source for determining the final outcome.
Key catalysts include Norway's performance in World Cup qualifying matches, which will directly impact their seeding and group assignment in the 2026 tournament. Injuries or roster changes to star players, managerial changes, and the official draw announcement will all influence market pricing. Friendly match results and form heading into the tournament matter significantly. Additionally, the strength of teams in Norway's group—revealed at the draw—will shift odds substantially. Close qualifying campaigns or unexpected victories by rival nations could also trigger repricing as the tournament approaches.