TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 11:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Norway and Senegal (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 23, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 23, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Norway and Senegal (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 23, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 23, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
The market resolves on Jun 24, 2026, after the Norway versus Senegal match concludes. Resolution is determined by the final tally of yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined during regular and extra time. The outcome is binary: if the total reaches 4 or more cards, the YES position wins; if fewer than 4 cards are issued, the NO position wins. Official match records and card data from the governing body confirm the final count used for settlement.
Several factors can shift the market price before Jun 24, 2026. Announcement of the match referee is critical, as different officials have varying card-issuance tendencies. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can alter playing style and aggression levels. Historical head-to-head records and recent disciplinary trends for both squads influence trader expectations. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and tournament context (knockout stage intensity) also matter. Early match events, such as an early red card or heated exchanges, typically trigger sharp repricing as traders update their probability estimates in real time.