TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Indiana will win their college football game against Northwestern by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives Indiana winning by over 2.5 points a 68.0% probability. The market resolves based on the final score of the Northwestern vs Indiana game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Indiana wins by more than 38.5 points, with final resolution expected around September 26, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Northwestern vs Indiana college football game scheduled for September 25, 2026. For any market, if Indiana wins by more than the specified point margin, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents what traders believe will actually happen. Initial sportsbook odds may be influenced by public perception or biases, whereas this market aims for a more accurate probability assessment. However, as game day approaches, sportsbook odds will adjust based on news and betting patterns, potentially converging with or diverging from the predictions found in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Northwestern vs Indiana football game, specifically the point spread, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official game results as determined by the relevant sporting authority. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their predicted outcome matched the actual spread.
Several factors could influence this market between now and Sep 26, 2026. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either Northwestern or Indiana would likely cause movement. Changes in team performance during subsequent games, weather forecasts for the game day, and even public sentiment shifts could all impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced by either team could also lead to shifts in the market's assessment of the likely spread. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.