TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 11:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Northwestern and Indiana. It focuses solely on performance during the last 15 minutes of regulation time, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends on the points scored in that specific segment of the game.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the fourth quarter of the Northwestern vs. Indiana college football game scheduled for September 25, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. If Indiana scores more points in the fourth quarter, the 'Indiana wins 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If Northwestern scores more points in the fourth quarter, the 'Northwestern wins 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points in the fourth quarter, the 'Tie 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the fourth quarter of regulation play are considered. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders possess information or insights not fully incorporated into the sportsbook's pricing. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 4th quarter will be declared the winner, and that result will determine the payout of contracts on Kalshi. It is important to note that the official game results will be used to determine the winner, and any disputes regarding the game's outcome will be resolved based on those official results. Traders should monitor the game's progress and official sources for updates.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Key injuries to star players on either Northwestern or Indiana would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Unexpected coaching decisions or changes in game strategy could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, real-time game performance during the first three quarters – scoring drives, turnovers, and defensive stops – will all contribute to how this market evolves. Any news or developments that alter perceptions of each team's chances of winning the 4th quarter could lead to price fluctuations.