TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Indiana will win its college football game against Northwestern. Currently, Kalshi gives Indiana a 93.0% probability of winning, while Northwestern is at 8.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Northwestern vs Indiana college football game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on September 25, 2026, the originally scheduled date for the game, as this marks the start of the event window that will determine the market’s resolution.
The event resolves based on the winner of the Northwestern vs Indiana college football game scheduled for September 25, 2026. If Indiana wins, the market for Indiana resolves to Yes; if Northwestern wins, the market for Northwestern resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by actual trading, tends to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by participants, potentially offering more favorable odds for informed bettors. However, sportsbook odds are widely accessible and may differ due to varying risk assessments and public betting patterns. It’s valuable to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of expectations surrounding the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Northwestern vs Indiana game. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to incorporate new information and perspectives, creating a dynamic and efficient prediction mechanism. The current price indicates the cost to take a position on a specific result, and traders aim to profit by correctly anticipating the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Northwestern vs Indiana game, as reported by a widely recognized sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The platform will verify the final score to determine the winning contracts and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Sep 26, 2026. Key player injuries or unexpected starting lineup changes for either Northwestern or Indiana would likely cause price fluctuations. News regarding team morale, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.