TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Northwestern State Demons vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (W)
Volume:
$1,613,069
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Northwestern State Demons and Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Northwestern State win and Texas-Rio Grande Valley win) are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No outcome. This makes the market unresolvable and creates a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic is broken—both teams winning the game would resolve to Yes, which is logically impossible. Polymarket's binary structure is the only valid market for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary winner-take-all structure. Northwestern State win resolves to Northwestern State Demons; Texas-Rio Grande Valley win resolves to Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Source: NCAA.com final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Defective logical structure with unresolvable contradiction. States both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Northwestern St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If UT Rio Grande Valley wins...resolves to Yes.' No valid No outcome exists, making settlement impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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