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$134.2b

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$126,590,312

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$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

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Kalshi:

61%

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Northwestern State Demons vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
kalshi
polymarket

Northwestern State Demons vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

Volume:
$232,838

UT Rio Grande Valley

 - Kalshi

UT Rio Grande Valley - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 3, 2026

Closed: Mar 2, 10:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UT Rio Grande Valley

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$72,974
N/A
N/A
$54,629
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,638
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$363
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Northwestern St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$135,177
N/A
N/A
$104,519
Settled
No
polymarket

Northwestern State Demons vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,691
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 139.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$582
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 138.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$229
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 137.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

A men's college basketball game between Northwestern State Demons and Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros scheduled for March 2, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -9.5 and -10.5, and over/under totals at 137.5, 138.5, and 139.5 points.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Northwestern State win or UT Rio Grande Valley win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and non-functional as a prediction instrument.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It is broken. For moneyline exposure, use only Polymarket. For point spread and total markets, both platforms use consistent NCAA.com-based logic and are tradeable. Confirm final score including overtime through official NCAA records.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market maps both possible outcomes to Yes resolution. Both 'Northwestern St. wins' and 'UT Rio Grande Valley wins' resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. Spread and total markets are not provided on Kalshi.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to the name of the winning team (either Northwestern State Demons or Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros). Spread markets (-9.5 and -10.5) resolve based on margin of victory. Total markets (137.5, 138.5, 139.5) resolve based on combined score. All use NCAA.com as source and include postponement/cancellation protocols.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.