TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Northern Ireland vs Hungary: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Northern Ireland vs Hungary?

Volume:
$8,702

Hungary wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Hungary wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 4:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hungary wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,084
N/A
N/A
$3,942
Settled
No
kalshi

Northern Ireland wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,689
N/A
N/A
$1,668
Settled
No
kalshi

Northern Ireland wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,470
N/A
N/A
$1,391
Settled
No
kalshi

Hungary wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,460
N/A
N/A
$1,460
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Northern Ireland and Hungary, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specific goal differential threshold. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different margin-of-victory thresholds for the Northern Ireland vs Hungary UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 28, 2026. Four distinct outcome markets exist: Northern Ireland winning by more than 2.5 goals, Northern Ireland winning by more than 1.5 goals, Hungary winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Hungary winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team achieves the exact required goal differential; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, using publicly available match results as the sole determinant.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Northern Ireland vs Hungary match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a historical record of price movements. Currently, volume is $8,654 and total volume to date is $8,702. This allows traders to see how confidence in different outcomes is shifting over time. The dashboard provides a visual representation of market sentiment, helping participants identify potential trading opportunities related to the match’s spread.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or analytical approaches. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or as traders adjust their positions based on evolving insights.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Northern Ireland vs Hungary match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on these interactions. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on collective intelligence and new information.

This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Northern Ireland vs Hungary match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the payout to contract holders based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by their contracts. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.

Several signals could influence this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Northern Ireland or Hungary would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather forecasts for the match day could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also play a role. As the match approaches, increased media coverage and expert analysis may also contribute to price fluctuations.