TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Northern Ireland vs. Hungary
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Northern Ireland vs. Hungary?

Volume:
$971,560

Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 4:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$148,774
N/A
N/A
$93,361
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Northern Ireland vs. Hungary)

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$48,260
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
99%
67%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$15,084
$20,624
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

HUN

View
1%
32%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$1,151
$61,846
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hungary

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$235,462
N/A
N/A
$172,585
Settled
No
polymarket

Hungary

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$136,598
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

NIR

View
1%
35%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$160
$19,748
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Northern Ireland

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$155,703
N/A
N/A
$113,347
Settled
No
polymarket

Northern Ireland

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$144,545
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This group covers markets on the UEFA Nations League soccer match between Northern Ireland and Hungary, scheduled for September 28, 2026. Markets ask about which team will win or if the game will end in a draw, all within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms align on resolving based on the official match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with similar fallback procedures for data availability.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA).

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the outcome of the match (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If the official result is unavailable within 2 hours, data from Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes' on Polymarket and Predict.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, markets will resolve 50-50, or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes' on Polymarket and Predict. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or as soon as official results are available (within 24 hours of scheduled completion).Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, September 28, 2026 between Northern Ireland and Hungary.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for Northern Ireland occurs if they win within regulation time; similarly, a 'Yes' for Hungary resolves if they secure a regulation time victory. The 'Tie' market resolves positively if both teams are level at the end of regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours, all markets settle at a fair price as determined per platform policy. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, September 28, 2026 between Northern Ireland and Hungary.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and a margin for profit, while prediction markets are driven by the collective opinions of traders. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of bets not available in this market, and vice versa. The volume of $971,560 suggests significant interest in this event.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Northern Ireland vs. Hungary match can differ due to variations in trader demographics, market liquidity, and individual interpretations of available information. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with potentially varying risk appetites and predictive expertise. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $971,560 overall – influences price discovery. Differences in trading fees and platform-specific rules can also contribute to price discrepancies, even when both markets address the same underlying event.