TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Indiana State Sycamores (W)
Volume:
$22,839
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Women's College Basketball (WBB) matchup between Northern Iowa Panthers and Indiana State Sycamores scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the binary outcome of which team wins the game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Northern Iowa win and Indiana State win) resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market unresolvable and non-functional as a binary prediction market.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the market is corrected. The platform must specify distinct resolution outcomes for each team (e.g., Yes for Northern Iowa, No for Indiana State). Polymarket is the only currently viable venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with clear differentiation. Northern Iowa victory resolves to Northern Iowa Panthers; Indiana State victory resolves to Indiana State Sycamores. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Defective resolution logic: both Northern Iowa win and Indiana State win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Market cannot differentiate between outcomes and is therefore unresolvable in its current form.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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