TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Indiana State Sycamores
Volume:
$35,088
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Northern Iowa Panthers and Indiana State Sycamores scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline (full game winner), point spread outcomes at different thresholds (-4.5 and -5.5), and total points over/under at two different lines (135.5 and 136.5). One platform also offers a first-half winner market.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi offers a first-half winner market while Polymarket offers full-game and spread markets. These resolve on different time windows (first half only vs. complete game including overtime), making them distinct settlement events rather than redundant coverage of the same outcome.Hero Tip:
Recognize that Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing different events. Kalshi's first-half market will settle hours before Polymarket's full-game markets. Use Kalshi for first-half momentum plays and Polymarket for final-result conviction. Do not assume correlation between first-half and full-game outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: First-half winner market. Resolves Yes if Northern Iowa wins first half, tie occurs in first half, or Indiana State wins first half. Notably, all three outcomes resolve to Yes, making this a binary 'game happens' market rather than a directional bet. Quote: 'If Northern Iowa is the winner of the first half of regulation time... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Full-game moneyline, spreads (-4.5, -5.5), and totals (135.5, 136.5). All resolve on final score including overtime. Moneyline resolves to team name; spreads and totals resolve to Yes/No or Over/Under. Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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