TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Evansville Aces (W)
Volume:
$5,983
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Northern Iowa Panthers and Evansville Aces scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the binary outcome of which team wins the game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both Northern Iowa victory and Evansville victory resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents meaningful price discovery.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken - both possible game outcomes map to the same resolution state (Yes), which violates basic binary market structure. Trade only on Polymarket, which correctly implements a binary winner-take-all structure with proper edge-case definitions.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Implements proper binary logic: resolves to Northern Iowa Panthers if they win, or Evansville Aces if they win. Includes explicit rules for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Key Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Kalshi: Contains logical contradiction: states If Evansville wins then resolves to Yes AND If Northern Iowa wins then resolves to Yes. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to identical resolution state, making market logically incoherent. Key Quote: If Evansville wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Northern Iowa wins...then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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