TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns each team scores in a specific college football game. It focuses on thresholds for both teams, determining whether they reach certain scoring milestones. The outcomes depend purely on the game's final touchdown counts, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on the official number of touchdowns scored by each team in the Northern Illinois vs Iowa college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. Touchdowns scored during overtime count toward the final tally, but successful two-point conversions—whether in regulation or overtime—do not count. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold for the number of touchdowns a team must score for the market to resolve as 'Yes.' These thresholds vary between one and six touchdowns for each team. The markets are independent, and each resolves solely based on whether the specified team's touchdown count meets or exceeds its designated threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. However, as the event draws closer, this market tends to converge with sportsbook odds, as more information becomes incorporated into the price.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a specific outcome occurring. For example, a contract priced at 60 means there's a 60% implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and information, creating a dynamic price discovery process. The market reflects the collective intelligence of those participating.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final touchdown count from the Northern Illinois vs Iowa game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of touchdowns scored by both teams will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the final result.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Northern Illinois or Iowa would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting passing or rushing attacks, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game could also impact the market. Finally, public sentiment and betting activity in traditional sportsbooks can sometimes influence trading activity in this market.