TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State?

Volume:
$1,021,617

Georgia St.

 - Kalshi

Georgia St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 6:27 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Georgia St.

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$356,799
N/A
N/A
$221,743
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$67,117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,983
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$17,881
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 40.5

100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$856
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$846
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$626
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$418
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$367
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -2.5

100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -12.5

100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Georgia State O/U 33.5

100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2.9¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -6.5

100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Northern Illinois

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$382,500
N/A
N/A
$275,261
Settled
No
polymarket

Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$138,598
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 56.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,390
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 58.5

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,976
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 54.5

0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,694
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Northern Illinois O/U 22.5

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$234
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 216

Intro

This market tracks the total number of 4th down conversions—over or under 0.5—in the Northern Illinois versus Georgia State college football game. Currently, the consensus probability of Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 resolving to ‘Yes’ is 100.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution determined by data reported on https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 26th, as the final 4th down conversion statistics will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market is a binary 'game happens' indicator, while Polymarket offers markets on the winner, spread, and total points.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket's markets for more specific and informative trading opportunities. Avoid Kalshi's binary market as it provides limited predictive value.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Northern Illinois or Georgia State wins the game. Essentially a 'game completion' market.
  • Polymarket: Offers markets resolving to the specific winning team (Northern Illinois or Georgia State), as well as numerous spread and over/under markets with detailed resolution criteria based on point differentials and total scores.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Northern Illinois and Georgia State, scheduled for September 26 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Northern Illinois" if Northern Illinois win the game. This market will resolve to "Georgia State" if Georgia State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Northern Illinois vs Georgia State college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. Should the game be canceled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price rather than a definitive outcome. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's possible to find value by comparing the implied probabilities from both sources and identifying potential mispricings.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Northern Illinois or Georgia State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, coaching decisions, or even public sentiment expressed on social media could also move the market. Unexpected upsets in other games that affect team morale or rankings could also play a role, as traders adjust their predictions based on the evolving landscape.