TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 6:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the total number of 4th down conversions—over or under 0.5—in the Northern Illinois versus Georgia State college football game. Currently, the consensus probability of Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 resolving to ‘Yes’ is 100.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution determined by data reported on https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 26th, as the final 4th down conversion statistics will determine the outcome of this market.
In the upcoming college football game between Northern Illinois and Georgia State, scheduled for September 26 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Northern Illinois" if Northern Illinois win the game. This market will resolve to "Georgia State" if Georgia State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Northern Illinois vs Georgia State college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. Should the game be canceled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price rather than a definitive outcome. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Northern Illinois or Georgia State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, coaching decisions, or even public sentiment expressed on social media could also move the market. Unexpected upsets in other games that affect team morale or rankings could also play a role, as traders adjust their predictions based on the evolving landscape.