TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 10:50 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many points each team scores in a specific college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points a team must exceed for the bet to pay out.
The markets resolve based on whether Arizona or Northern Illinois exceeds specified point thresholds in their college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For each market, if the designated team scores more than the stated point total, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. All markets are independent, each evaluating a unique point threshold for either team.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and biases. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows individuals to express their own informed opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing the difference between this market and sportsbook lines can reveal areas where the crowd believes there’s an edge to be found.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Northern Illinois vs Arizona game. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Northern Illinois vs Arizona game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the governing body of the game. Traders holding contracts on the correct team total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect totals will not. The final score will be the definitive factor in determining the winning contracts.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Northern Illinois or Arizona would likely cause significant shifts in the price. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the style of play, could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, large volume trades by informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment, causing the price to adjust accordingly.