TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 12:02 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points will be scored in a specific quarter of a college football game between Northern Illinois and Arizona. Each market has a different threshold for the total points that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of the Northern Illinois vs Arizona college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points) that must be exceeded for the market to resolve to 'Yes'. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis and information. Often, you'll find prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, as traders react instantly to news and developments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches, with prediction markets potentially offering a more accurate forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can take either the 'buy' (yes) or 'sell' (no) side, aiming to profit from correctly predicting the final total score in the 2nd quarter. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price represents the market's collective forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the Northern Illinois vs Arizona game will determine the result. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an accurate and transparent outcome. Traders who hold contracts corresponding to the correct total will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the game’s progress leading up to the end of the 2nd quarter.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Northern Illinois or Arizona would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they impact the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before or during the game could also play a role. Finally, early game performance in the 1st quarter, and any emerging trends in scoring, will likely drive trading activity and impact the price of contracts in this market.