TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 12:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between Northern Illinois and Arizona. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that, if exceeded by either team during that quarter, determines the outcome.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the second quarter of the Northern Illinois vs Arizona college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For any market where the specified point margin is exceeded by either team during that quarter, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these resolutions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely game outcome or differing levels of information available to each group. It’s common to see the market adjust as new information emerges, potentially leading to convergence with sportsbook odds or maintaining a divergence based on unique insights.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second quarter of the Northern Illinois vs Arizona game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the game, not by any subjective interpretation.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Northern Illinois or Arizona teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.