TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:47 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the second half of a college football game between Northern Illinois and Arizona. It focuses solely on the performance during the latter part of the match, ignoring the first half's outcome. The result hinges on the points scored from the start of the third quarter onward, including any overtime periods.
If Arizona wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the Northern Illinois vs Arizona college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Northern Illinois wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the Northern Illinois vs Arizona college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the Northern Illinois vs Arizona college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders could potentially profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect changing expectations about the game’s second half.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second half of the Northern Illinois vs Arizona game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances on Kalshi shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game ends. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Northern Illinois or Arizona teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the game’s dynamics and shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could lead to substantial price movements in this market.