TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:47 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either team wins the second half of a college football game, focusing specifically on point differentials during that period. Outcomes depend entirely on the scoring margin after halftime, regardless of the first half's results.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the designated Northern Illinois vs Arizona college football game. A "Yes" outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the specified point margin threshold for that market during this period. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves normally. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve at a fair price. No first-half points factor into any resolution, and all thresholds are evaluated independently across multiple markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's a useful comparison point for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the second half of the Northern Illinois vs Arizona football game. The market will settle to 100 based on which side of the spread the actual result falls. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will incur a loss.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Northern Illinois or Arizona teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact the spread. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment and affect the market price. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations.