TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many points will be scored in the first quarter of a college football game between Northern Illinois and Arizona. Each market has a different threshold for the total points scored, allowing participants to speculate on the range of scoring in the opening quarter.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the Northern Illinois vs Arizona college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold; if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Only points scored in the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional forecasts, as they aggregate diverse perspectives. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, serving as a common benchmark for comparison. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes for the Northern Illinois vs Arizona 1st quarter. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds based on their own research and beliefs, and the market price adjusts dynamically with each trade. The higher the price, the lower the implied probability, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations for the game's first quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter between Northern Illinois and Arizona will determine the result. The market will settle based on the official total points scored during that period, as reported by official sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. It's important to monitor official results as they become available after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Northern Illinois or Arizona would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also shift expectations. Finally, large-volume trades from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly.