TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory for Wyoming in their college football game against Northern Colorado. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, allowing participants to speculate on how convincingly Wyoming might win.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Northern Colorado vs Wyoming college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. For any market, if Wyoming's victory exceeds the specified point threshold, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential they bet on.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially when there’s significant public interest. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, offering a common point of comparison for those new to prediction markets. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts indicating a certain spread, the price increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit when their beliefs align with the actual outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Northern Colorado vs Wyoming football game. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread matches the purchased contract, and less than 100 if it does not. Traders holding contracts at resolution will receive a payout based on the difference between their contract price and 100.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Northern Colorado or Wyoming teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if severe weather is expected, could also impact the spread. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could signal a change in market sentiment and cause the price to shift.