TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Northern Colorado Bears vs. Idaho Vandals (W)
Volume:
$53,747
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Northern Colorado Bears and Idaho Vandals scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Idaho win and Northern Colorado win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi contract until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The market as written cannot distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket's structure is sound and resolvable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Winner-take-all binary structure. Resolves to winning team name (Northern Colorado Bears or Idaho Vandals). Handles postponement by keeping market open; handles cancellation with no makeup by splitting 50-50. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Both conditional branches resolve to Yes. States 'If Idaho wins... resolves to Yes' and separately 'If Northern Colorado wins... resolves to Yes', creating logical impossibility for binary resolution. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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