TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Northern Arizona vs. Montana State
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Northern Arizona vs. Montana State?

Volume:
$808,786

Montana St.

 - Kalshi

Montana St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 2:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Montana St.

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$208,516
N/A
N/A
$139,072
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Northern Arizona

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$545,083
N/A
N/A
$367,230
Settled
No
polymarket

Northern Arizona vs. Montana State

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,491
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 57.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$389
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 61.5

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 59.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2H Moneyline

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 23

Description

This group covers markets on the Northern Arizona vs. Montana State college football game scheduled for September 26th. Markets include predicting the winner, point spreads, and the over/under total points scored. The markets are based on the outcome of the game as determined by official NCAA results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Significant divergence in market types offered between platforms. Kalshi focuses solely on a binary win/loss outcome, while Polymarket offers a wider range of markets including spreads and over/under.Hero tip: Be mindful of the differing market offerings and resolution criteria on each platform. Kalshi's binary market is simpler, while Polymarket's markets require more specific outcome predictions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Offers a binary market resolving to 'Yes' if either team wins the game. This is a flawed market design as both teams winning is impossible.
  • Polymarket: Offers a variety of markets (win/loss, spreads, over/under) resolving based on the official game outcome, with clear rules for ties, postponements, and cancellations.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Northern Arizona and Montana State, scheduled for September 26 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Northern Arizona" if Northern Arizona win the game. This market will resolve to "Montana State" if Montana State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if that team wins the designated college football game. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original schedule, the market stays open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those seen on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines based on their internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets are driven by the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient and reflecting a more accurate probability of events. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available here, and liquidity can vary significantly between the two.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, while Kalshi utilizes a different order book structure. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This difference in mechanics can lead to price discrepancies, even when both platforms are tracking the same underlying event. Furthermore, the user base and trading activity on each platform can vary, influencing the prevailing sentiment and price. Market-specific factors, such as differing fees or trading limits, can also contribute to these divergences. These factors mean that the implied probabilities on each platform may not always align.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds on this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Northern Arizona or Montana State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they could affect playing conditions, could also move the market. Furthermore, any unexpected developments related to team morale, coaching changes, or even public sentiment could influence traders' predictions and alter the probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market.