TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Two college football teams will face off, and spectators can predict which team will lead at halftime. The outcome depends solely on the scoring during the first half of the game, ignoring any events from the second half.
The market resolves based on which team leads at the end of the first half of the specified college football game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Points scored only during the first half count toward the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. The current price represents the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if that outcome wins. Traders aim to profit by buying low and selling high, or by accurately predicting the outcome and holding a winning contract until resolution.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome will be determined by which team is leading at the end of the first half of the Northern Arizona vs Montana State game. Official game results will be used to verify the winner. The platform will then automatically settle all outstanding contracts based on the verified result, paying out to those who correctly predicted the first-half winner.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Northern Arizona or Montana State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment, reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, as traders react to the latest information and adjust their positions accordingly.