TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Northern Colorado Bears
Volume:
$341,286
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Northern Arizona Lumberjacks and Northern Colorado Bears scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points scored across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical tautology: both possible game outcomes (Northern Colorado win and Northern Arizona win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as a meaningful binary prediction. Polymarket markets are logically consistent and differentiated by outcome.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution logic guarantees Yes resolution regardless of which team wins, eliminating predictive value. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether the market should resolve Yes only on game completion (regardless of winner), or if the resolution criteria were incorrectly stated. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets are safe to trade.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Five distinct markets with clear differentiation: (1) Moneyline resolves to winning team name; (2) Spread -12.5 resolves to Northern Colorado Bears if margin >= 13, else Northern Arizona Lumberjacks; (3) O/U 148.5 resolves Over if combined score >= 149, else Under; (4) Spread -11.5 resolves to Northern Colorado Bears if margin >= 12, else Northern Arizona Lumberjacks; (5) O/U 149.5 resolves Over if combined score >= 150, else Under. All include postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Key Quote: 'If the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks win, the market will resolve to Northern Arizona Lumberjacks.'
- Kalshi: Single market with tautological resolution: resolves to Yes if Northern Colorado wins OR if Northern Arizona wins. No differentiation between outcomes; no explicit postponement or cancellation handling. Key Quote: 'If Northern Colorado wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Northern Arizona wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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