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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Idaho Vandals
kalshi
polymarket

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Idaho Vandals

Volume:
$144,523

Idaho

 - Kalshi

Idaho - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 27, 2026

Closed: Feb 27, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Idaho

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,541
N/A
N/A
$20,567
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 147.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,204
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 146.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Northern Arizona

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,434
N/A
N/A
$24,480
Settled
No
polymarket

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Idaho Vandals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 145.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$179
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A college basketball game between Northern Arizona Lumberjacks and Idaho Vandals scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (Idaho -10.5), and multiple over/under totals (145.5, 146.5, 147.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market has contradictory logic where both possible outcomes resolve to Yes, whereas Polymarket uses standard binary resolution (team name outcomes). Spread and total markets are consistent across both platforms.Hero tip: Treat Polymarket moneyline as the canonical resolution method. For Kalshi, clarify with support whether the Yes resolution applies only to game completion or if this is a data error. All spread and total markets will resolve consistently: use final score including overtime, with 50-50 split only if game is canceled with no makeup.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline resolves to Yes regardless of winner. Both Idaho win and Northern Arizona win outcomes map to Yes. This is logically inconsistent with standard binary market design.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks or Idaho Vandals. Standard binary outcome structure. Spread and totals use consistent thresholds (147.5, 146.5, 145.5 for over/under; -10.5 for spread).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.